Assumption stress test · provisional name
Cruxpress
Put the load-bearing beliefs under pressure.
Ranks assumptions by impact and evidence, then names the cheapest useful test. A press reveals which joint fails before the whole structure carries real weight.
Input bench
Name the real material
What are you about to approve, build, or believe?
One belief per line. Write it as a claim that could be false.
One line per assumption, in the same order. Use 'none' when honest.
Build the best coherent explanation that points away from the plan.
What would become true if each major assumption were false?
Who benefits from the current story, and how might that distort evidence?
What breaks, how would it appear, and how costly would it be?
What evidence would distinguish the plan from the strongest alternative?
If what is observed by when, how should the recommendation change?
Imagine the plan failed. What was the most plausible cause?
PRIVACY: INPUTS STAY IN THIS BROWSER. SAVE USES LOCAL STORAGE ON THIS DEVICE. NOTHING IS SENT BY THIS INSTRUMENT.
Output desk
Your result appears here
Load the sample or bring real material.
THE TOOL TRANSFORMS WHAT YOU ENTER. IT DOES NOT CALL A MODEL OR INVENT MISSING FACTS.
Worked example
Starting material
Three beliefs supported by two anecdotes and one blank.
Useful change
The unsupported format-preference belief becomes the crux, with a paid-pilot test and reversal condition.